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Dear ck.kislay,
You are subscribed to the thread "Real Estate Bubble Set to Burst Again in India" by MANOJa, there have been 12 post(s) to this thread, the last poster was sapvin82.
https://www.indianrealestateforum.com/forum/city-forums/ncr-real-estate/gurgaon-real-estate/13876-real-estate-bubble-set-to-burst-again-in-india
These following posts were made to the thread:
https://www.indianrealestateforum.com/forum/city-forums/ncr-real-estate/gurgaon-real-estate/13876-real-estate-bubble-set-to-burst-again-in-india
Posted by: vaibha4096
On: July 8 2017 08:41 AM
Services are not part of calculating inflatation data. What an idea sirjee
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Team IREF
https://www.indianrealestateforum.com/forum/city-forums/ncr-real-estate/gurgaon-real-estate/13876-real-estate-bubble-set-to-burst-again-in-india
Posted by: spectre
On: July 8 2017 11:41 AM
[QUOTE=humblefool;n2531223] [FONT=trebuchet ms]RE is special at least for now. If I stayed in the US, I wouldn't worry about RE. The conditions there are near complete urbanization, falling population levels and near infinite supply of land due to ready built infrastructure. India is in a different cycle, at least for now and till the end of this century(Note it took US a century to get here). The real issue for all you FD and Stock Market fanbois is you people are born ahead of your time.[/FONT][/QUOTE] :) Do you really mean that US has a falling population? Please check again. India'a population growth has rather slowed down significantly (2.3% in 1984 to 1.2% in 2015) and steadily! Even fertility rate in India fell from near 6 in 1960s tp 2.2 in 1916! In fact most states showed fertility rate below 2! Please substantiate claims with data. Anyone can postulate, but it is acceptable only when substantiated with proofs.
With warm regards,
Team IREF
https://www.indianrealestateforum.com/forum/city-forums/ncr-real-estate/gurgaon-real-estate/13876-real-estate-bubble-set-to-burst-again-in-india
Posted by: spectre
On: July 8 2017 12:54 PM
[QUOTE=vaibav123;n2531349] Even a smaller fertility rates means huge population increase considering that base is 1.2 billion people. Statistics are interesting phenomena. [/QUOTE] Hope you will read the following and understand the facts well. [URL]https://www.thoughtco.com/total-fertility-rate-1435463[/URL] "In developed countries, the necessary replacement rate is about 2.1. Since replacement can not occur if a child does not grow to maturity and have their own offspring, the need for the extra .1 child (a 5% buffer) per woman is due to the potential for death and those who choose or are unable to have children. In less developed countries, the replacement rate is around 2.3 due to higher childhood and adult death rates." Statistics is indeed interesting phenomena. :)
With warm regards,
Team IREF
https://www.indianrealestateforum.com/forum/city-forums/ncr-real-estate/gurgaon-real-estate/13876-real-estate-bubble-set-to-burst-again-in-india
Posted by: revhappy
On: July 8 2017 04:33 PM
The big states of uttar pradesh, Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh are still producing at full throttle. So india population will continue to increase by much faster rate than desired: [url]https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indian_states_ranking_by_fertility_rate[/url]
With warm regards,
Team IREF
https://www.indianrealestateforum.com/forum/city-forums/ncr-real-estate/gurgaon-real-estate/13876-real-estate-bubble-set-to-burst-again-in-india
Posted by: spectre
On: July 8 2017 04:42 PM
[QUOTE=revhappy;n2531458]The big states of uttar pradesh, Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh are still producing at full throttle. So india population will continue to increase by much faster rate than desired: [URL="https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indian_states_ranking_by_fertility_rate"]https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indi...fertility_rate[/URL] [/QUOTE] Sir, you post clearly states that "Recent surveys show that majority of Indian states fertility rate has fallen well below the replacement level of 2.1 and the [B]country is fast approaching the replacement level itself.[/B]" That's exactly what I tried to say. It doesn't matter if some states are growing and some states are not growing, as a country Indian population is saturating. But such an effect is visible only after 25-30 years! Actually for states where fertility is less than 2, for majority houses are more than the number of kids! Many of my bengali colleagues have this situation. They were single kid and got married, after marriage when they bought a house and have one kid, they have already 3 houses (2 from grandparents and one from parent) for that kid! Many of my European friends have similar situation.
With warm regards,
Team IREF
https://www.indianrealestateforum.com/forum/city-forums/ncr-real-estate/gurgaon-real-estate/13876-real-estate-bubble-set-to-burst-again-in-india
Posted by: revhappy
On: July 8 2017 04:43 PM
[QUOTE=spectre;n2531460] Sir, you post clearly states that "Recent surveys show that majority of Indian states fertility rate has fallen well below the replacement level of 2.1 and the [B]country is fast approaching the replacement level itself.[/B]" That's exactly what I tried to say. It doesn't matter if some states are growing and some states are not growing, as a country Indian population is saturating. But such an effect is visible only after 25-30 years![/QUOTE] It is good in a way. We have about 75% excess population.
With warm regards,
Team IREF
https://www.indianrealestateforum.com/forum/city-forums/ncr-real-estate/gurgaon-real-estate/13876-real-estate-bubble-set-to-burst-again-in-india
Posted by: krgopalan
On: July 8 2017 05:32 PM
have not invested directly in stocks though i Have a mutual fund account. Can somebody explain how much expense I had to shed for demat account and the commission for buying a share. I may buy in sip of the selected stocks.
With warm regards,
Team IREF
https://www.indianrealestateforum.com/forum/city-forums/ncr-real-estate/gurgaon-real-estate/13876-real-estate-bubble-set-to-burst-again-in-india
Posted by: GoodmanBrown
On: July 8 2017 05:35 PM
lets say in an island there are 5 couples , that is 10 people , 5 males and 5 females . Lets say each couple have 6 kids each . So total 30 kids . Now lets assume that after some 30 years one day suddenly each of these 30 kids grow up , marry each other and have 1 kid each , and simultaneously all the original 5 couples died . Lets calculate the population before and after this incident . Before : 5 couples + 30 kids ( each couple had 6 kid). = 40 people . After : 30 kids ( now parents ) + 15 grand kids( 30 kids means 15 couples , each couple has one kid) = 45 people . so After > Before Proved: Even if people are having one kid , still the population increased
With warm regards,
Team IREF
https://www.indianrealestateforum.com/forum/city-forums/ncr-real-estate/gurgaon-real-estate/13876-real-estate-bubble-set-to-burst-again-in-india
Posted by: flatowner2
On: July 8 2017 10:15 PM
What is this? Fertility rate is getting discussed here! Next will come family planning!
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Team IREF
https://www.indianrealestateforum.com/forum/city-forums/ncr-real-estate/gurgaon-real-estate/13876-real-estate-bubble-set-to-burst-again-in-india
Posted by: rookieman
On: July 9 2017 12:04 AM
One of my friend bought a 2 BHK 1000 sqft flat(in a big housing complex) in Nehrapar Faridabad at a total cost 37 lakhs. It lies at radial distance of 38 KM from Delhi. If I keep the radial distance same and move to Gurgaon Sector 49 which also lies 38KM from Delhi, how much will be the cost of 2BHK apartment in a gated housing complex? I don't think one will be available below 40 lakh INR. My friend said instead of moving further inside the Gurguram district far away from Delhi, it is much wiser to shift to Faridabad. Atleast his kids can access the educational institutions of Delhi much easily in the near future.
With warm regards,
Team IREF
https://www.indianrealestateforum.com/forum/city-forums/ncr-real-estate/gurgaon-real-estate/13876-real-estate-bubble-set-to-burst-again-in-india
Posted by: futuristic 7
On: July 9 2017 12:19 AM
[QUOTE=rookieman;n2531582]One of my friend bought a 2 BHK 1000 sqft flat(in a big housing complex) in Nehrapar Faridabad at a total cost 37 lakhs. It lies at radial distance of 38 KM from Delhi. If I keep the radial distance same and move to Gurgaon Sector 49 which also lies 38KM from Delhi, how much will be the cost of 2BHK apartment in a gated housing complex? I don't think one will be available below 40 lakh INR. My friend said instead of moving further inside the Gurguram district far away from Delhi, it is much wiser to shift to Faridabad. Atleast his kids can access the educational institutions of Delhi much easily in the near future.[/QUOTE] Your friend got 1000 sq.ft flat ,I can even suggest you a deal of 1300 sq ft spacious flat with 4 balconies deal * 35 lakhs with 24 hours water supply ready to move in Good society with everything available inside society including school for children , and 10 screen cinemas which will be operational in November within 4 kms ..Plus noida is easily approachable from this location Noida expressway and SEZ parks are just 20-25 kms away from this society.
With warm regards,
Team IREF
https://www.indianrealestateforum.com/forum/city-forums/ncr-real-estate/gurgaon-real-estate/13876-real-estate-bubble-set-to-burst-again-in-india
Posted by: sapvin82
On: July 9 2017 03:10 AM
Where is RE crash and where is Bubble. We have waited so long. People who have invested in RE 7 years back have doubled their money be it in US or India. This thread just goes on and on................
With warm regards,
Team IREF
With warm regards,
Team IREF
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